Missed the Train in the Semi Sector?

Missed the Train in the Semi Sector?

The semiconductor sector has been showing strength recently. The Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) looks ready to break above 10-month resistance and challenge the 15-year highs set in 2015. Is this really a good time to invest in the semi stocks? Sure, certain semi stocks are doing quite well, especially the ones producing chips for → Read More

Is Ethan Allen Bucking the Market?

Is Ethan Allen Bucking the Market?

Money has been rolling out of certain stocks and sectors and into others. But the major indexes are stuck in a downward-sloping tight trading range. The key is volume. As the chart below shows, volume is a bit higher on recent down-close days (red volume bars). If volume drops off, a breakout on the upside → Read More

Is That an Inverse…?

Is That an Inverse…?

I recently read an article by one analyst suggesting the S&P 500 could be forming a Head and Shoulders pattern. If it completes the pattern and follows through in the typical manner, the analyst reasoned, we could see a market drop matching the height of the pattern. If the S&P 500 breaks below the bottom → Read More

Another Refreshing Dip Into POOL

Another Refreshing Dip Into POOL

My original posting on 1/19/2016 (Time to Jump Into POOL?) covered the strong seasonal pattern in POOL Corp (POOL). As you might guess, Pool Corporation (POOL) is a wholesale distributor of pool products to builders, retailers, and commercial customers. Over the 15 weeks starting in the middle of January POOL stock had a 100% track → Read More

Is Scotts Miracle Gro a Portfolio Builder?

Is Scotts Miracle Gro a Portfolio Builder?

Here in the Northeast every Home Depot and Lowes is busier than Grand Central Terminal on the day before Thanksgiving. Everyone has spring fever and tons of pavers, mulch, grass seed, and chemicals are leaving the stores every hour. And Scotts Miracle Gro sells many of the top products you see being loaded into car → Read More

A Closer Look at Moving Averages

A Closer Look at Moving Averages

Most of us have heard occasional mention about certain stocks displaying an important crossover of moving averages. The terms ‘Golden Cross’ and ‘Death Cross’ refer to crossovers of the most widely-followed indicators, the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 200-day Simple Moving Average. For example, in May of 2009, Starbucks’ (SBUX) 50-day SMA crossed → Read More

Still Doubting the Gold Rally?

Still Doubting the Gold Rally?

If you were skeptical about the rally in the precious metals and mining stocks up until this point, Friday’s market action was hard to ignore. GLD, the SPDR Gold Shares ETF, was up 1.95%. But it was the mining shares turn to shine. GDX, the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF, jumped 6.4%. Looking at the → Read More

Is Another Hangover Coming?

Is Another Hangover Coming?

The S&P 500 set an all-time high almost a year ago, on May 20th, 2015. Traders have backed off several times since then as the index has approached that high. The index is once again approaching that high, and the divergence between the price and the Stochastics indicator suggests it may again fail to retake → Read More

Enter a Trade This Week?

Enter a Trade This Week?

This week is the third week of this earnings cycle. The pace of announcements will pick up sharply. However, it’s best to hold off on considering new positions for the next week or two. As the following seasonal chart shows, the NASDAQ Composite, over the next three weeks, has a track record of nearly no → Read More

A Good Time for Semi Stocks? Maybe Not.

A Good Time for Semi Stocks? Maybe Not.

SMH, the Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF, has been trading within a range since last summer. While the stock is near recent highs, the Stochastics indicator has been falling off. This is a result of SMH increasingly closing near the bottom of its recent trading range. SMH does not have a great track record over the → Read More

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