VF Corp (VFC) Offering Possible 29.87% Return Over the Next 9 Calendar Days

VF Corp's most recent trend suggests a bullish bias. One trading opportunity on VF Corp is a Bull Put Spread using a strike $84.50 short put and a strike $79.50 long put offers a potential 29.87% return on risk over the next 9 calendar days. Maximum profit would be generated if the Bull Put Spread were to expire worthless, which would occur if the stock were above $84.50 by expiration. The full premium credit of $1.15 would be kept by the premium seller. The risk of $3.85 would be incurred if the stock dropped below the $79.50 long put strike price.

The 5-day moving average is moving up which suggests that the short-term momentum for VF Corp is bullish and the probability of a rise in share price is higher if the stock starts trending.

The 20-day moving average is moving up which suggests that the medium-term momentum for VF Corp is bullish.

The RSI indicator is above 80 which suggests that the stock is in overbought territory.

To learn how to execute such a strategy while accounting for risk and reward in the context of smart portfolio management, and see how to trade live with a successful professional trader, view more here


Good News Is Just Around the Corner for SKX Stock
Mon, 04 Feb 2019 14:08:47 +0000
In one of the oddest stock market moves in recent memory, shares of athletic apparel company Skechers (NYSE:SKX) popped more than 15% in a matter of minutes on huge volume near the end of the trading day on Thursday, Jan. 31. Yet, there was no news on the company. There was no earnings announcement. No press release. Nothing to suggest SKX stock was on the move.

Skechers stock has since given up those gains, and quickly. But, one has to wonder: does someone know something the rest of us don't know?

A 15% move higher in a stock in matter of minutes and on huge volume is meaningful. It's especially meaningful considering that earnings are due next week, and that buyout rumors have been swirling around this company for several weeks.

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Thus, it's reasonable to think that the huge late day spike in Skechers is the result of someone knowing something that the rest of us don't know.

* 10 F-Rated Stocks That Could Break Your Portfolio

Indeed, I think good news is just around corner for Skechers. The stock is cheap enough and the company has strong enough fundamentals to attract serious M&A interest. Meanwhile, the company's underlying growth trends remain favorable and lend themselves to a potential double-beat earnings report next week.

All in all, whether it be a M&A announcement or a double-beat earnings report, good news is likely just around the corner. Considering how cheap SKX stock is, such good news could cause a big pop in shares, and the bull thesis here and now looks quite compelling.

### Does Someone Know Something?

When you see a stock rally 15% in a few minutes, on huge volume, and on no news, the suspicion is that somebody knows something the rest of us don't know. Normally, I'd write off such suspicion as just wild speculation, and move on.

But, the situation feels different for SKX.

Earnings are due next week. My research indicates that those numbers should be pretty good. Search interest trends for Skechers have remained favorable over the past several months both domestically and internationally.

The company also had a big Super Bowl ad with Tony Romo. Skechers athlete Matt Kuchar won the Sony Open in Hawaii while wearing Skechers GO GOLF Pro 4 shoes, and that created a buzz on social media regarding GO GOLF shoes. Also, global advertising initiatives appear to progressing with healthy momentum.

Overall, it looks like earnings should be quite good. Perhaps somebody knows that they will be good, and that explains the sudden spike in Skechers stock.

Or, the spike could be due to someone knowing something on the M&A front. M&A rumors have been swirling around this company for several weeks. The rumored buyer was Vans parent company V.F. Corporation (NYSE:VFC). VFC has since largely dispelled those rumors. But, as I've pointed out before, Skechers is cheap enough with strong enough fundamentals to attract significant M&A interest outside of VFC.

Overall, a potential Skechers buyout is still on the table. Perhaps somebody knows that a buyout is coming, and that explains the sudden spike in Skechers stock.

Either way, it increasingly appears that good news is around the corner for SKX stock.

### Good News Could Spark a Big Rally

Because Skechers stock is so beaten up and trades at such an anemic valuation, good news could cause a huge pop in shares.

At one point in time, Skechers was a $40 stock trading at well over 20 forward earnings and around 1.5 trailing sales. That valuation level felt right for SKX.

Nike (NYSE:NKE) trades at 30 forward earnings. Lululemon (NASDAQ:LULU) trades at 33 forward earnings. Under Armour (NYSE:UAA) trades at 60 forward earnings. All three trade between 1.7 and 6.5 trailing sales.

Thus, considering that Skechers is in the same space as Nike, Lululemon, and Under Armour, but also has lower brand equity, a slightly discounted valuation around 20 forward earnings and 1.5 trailing sales seemed appropriate.

Today, though, SKX stock trades well below those levels. This is a $26 stock trading at under one trailing sales and around 13 forward earnings. Those are anemic valuation levels for an athletic apparel stock, an apparel retail stock (average forward P/E multiple in that sector is 17), and a 10% earnings grower.

Overall, Skechers stock is just really, really cheap. The stock is also 40% off recent highs. Thus, any good news could cause a big pop in the stock.

### Bottom Line on SKX Stock

Wall Street loves to hate Skechers. But, it increasingly appears like good news is just around the corner for Skechers, and Wall Street can't turn a blind eye to good news.

As such, SKX stock looks ready to pop in February.

As of this writing, Luke Lango was long SKX, NKE, and LULU.

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The post Good News Is Just Around the Corner for SKX Stock appeared first on InvestorPlace.

Deckers (DECK) Tops Q3 Earnings & Sales Estimates, Raises View
Fri, 01 Feb 2019 13:38:01 +0000
Impressive growth across UGG, HOKA ONE ONE and Koolaburra brands aided Deckers' (DECK) quarterly performance.

7 S&P 500 Stocks to Buy That Tore Up Earnings
Thu, 31 Jan 2019 20:03:15 +0000
If you're looking for stocks to buy, you can start by considering some of those S&P 500 stocks that have already reported their Q4 2018 results.

According to the Jan. 23 Institutional Brokers Estimate System data from Refinitiv, 76 S&P 500 companies have already reported their fourth-quarter results with another 424 still left to do so.

Of the 76 reporting, almost 78% delivered earnings above analyst expectations, 12 percentage points higher than the long-term average. On the revenue side of the ball, almost 61% of those who've already reported beat analyst expectations, about the same as the long-term average.

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Overall, once all of the S&P 500 companies have reported, earnings are expected to grow by 14.2% over last year's fourth quarter with revenues expected to increase by 5.6%.

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The big winners from a sector perspective are consumer discretionary, industrials, and financials. However, it's important to remind readers that of the 76 who've already reported, financials account for 38% of the total.

As Chris Cuomo of CNN fame would say, "Let's get after it."

Source: Shutterstock

### Lennar (LEN)

Lennar (NYSE:LEN), one of America's largest and best-known homebuilders, reported its fourth-quarter results Jan. 9. Analysts were expecting $1.93 a share. It delivered $2.42, 25.4% higher than the consensus and 87.6% higher than a year earlier. If you exclude the 58-cent profit from the sale of its Rialto asset management platform, though, the beat was more like 1.6%.

Now, I'm aware that 1.6% is hardly tearing up earnings. However, the sale of Rialto makes Lennar a more focused company, and that should mean further profit and revenue growth in the future. That's a big reason why I made Lennar one of "7 Downtrodden Stocks to Fish From the Bottom" in early January.

At the time, I wrote that Lennar's chairman, Stuart Miller, was very confident about the company's growth in 2019.

Looking at both the company's home growth year over year — 14,154 homes in Q4 2018 vs. 8,633 in Q4 2017 — and increase in average sale price — $421,000 in Q4 2018 vs. $388,000 in Q4 2018 — I, too, am confident that Lennar's got the goods in 2019.

Trading at just eight times forward 2019 earnings, it's about to become a favorite of investors in the know.

Source: Andy Via Flickr

### VF (VFC)

VF (NYSE:VFC) didn't have a good 2018 in the markets, generating a total return of -1%. On the bright side, it was still better than the S&P 500, which was 334 basis points worse in 2018.

The company is best known for Vans sneakers and The North Face outdoor clothing. It delivered Q3 2019 earnings on Jan. 18. Analysts were expecting $1.10 a share. It delivered $1.31, 19.1% higher than the consensus and 31% higher (excluding currency) than a year earlier.

Vans remain the company's best producer. In the third quarter, Vans saw sales increase by 27% on a global basis with especially strong numbers in Asia and the Americas. The company, which is in the middle of a five-year strategic growth plan, will spin off its Wrangler and Lee denim business in 2019 into an independent publicly traded company to be called Kontoor Brands.

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The move allows its slower-growth denim business to do what it needs to do to increase its growth rate while leaving VF to focus on its leading brands such as Vans.

Expect a significant acquisition from VF in 2019. Don't expect it to be Skechers (NYSE:SKX) though.

Source: Shutterstock

### Starbucks (SBUX)

Former Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) CEO Howard Schultz is considering running for president in 2020 as an independent. Democrats might not like it, but he's precisely the type of person the country needs at the moment. I have no idea if he could win, but it would be fun to watch.

The company announced its Q1 2019 results Jan. 24 and they were a lot better than some experts were expecting. On the bottom line, analysts were estimating earnings of 65 cents; they came in 10 cents higher at 75 cents. Compared to last year's Q1, they were 15% higher.

What stood out for me in the quarter was the 14% year-over-year increase in U.S. Starbucks Rewards memberships to 16.3 million people. That means approximately 5% of the U.S. population has one. Not bad for a company supposedly on the decline.

Also, a big positive was the fact its same-store sales in the Americas increased by 4% in the quarter, double what they were a year earlier.

The biggest downside in the quarter might have been operating margins, which were lower in all of its regions, but they're still very healthy (22% in the Americas, 18% in China, and 10% in EMEA).

Starbucks remains one of my favorite consumer-facing stocks.

Source: Shutterstock

### United Technologies (UTX)

It has been a couple of months since United Technologies (NYSE:UTX) announced that it would break itself up into three separate companies: United Technologies, which would house its aerospace business; a second company called Otis to own its elevator and escalator business; and a third company to be called Carrier, which will own its HVAC and fire safety businesses.

The conglomerate is dead … at least in the U.S. Elsewhere, it's still a very popular investment vehicle.

United Technologies announced its Q4 2018 earnings Jan. 23 and they were better than expected. Analysts were looking for $1.55; they came in 26% higher at $1.95 a share due to strong demand for aircraft parts,

"We are seeing really solid trends in aerospace across the board, with continued (airline traffic) growth and production increases at both Boeing and Airbus," CEO Greg Hayes said on earnings conference call.

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Investors didn't like the plan to break itself up, which is a big part why its stock is down since the announcement. These earnings are likely to shove that skepticism aside.

This is one spinoff play I'd seriously consider.

Source: cloakedghost via Flickr

### J.B. Hunt (JBHT)

It seems like almost every earnings beat in Q4 2018 has come with an asterisk or a question mark. J.B. Hunt (NASDAQ:JBHT) is no exception.

The trucking company reported its fourth-quarter results Jan. 18. It beat on both the top and bottom line. Revenues were $2.32 billion, $20 million higher than the consensus estimate of $2.3 billion. On the earnings front, analysts were expecting $1.48 a share; JB Hunt delivered $1.78, 20% higher than the consensus estimate.

Naturally, its stock jumped on the news.

However, not everything about the transport company's results was a home run.

"Digging a bit deeper, intermodal pricing was a clear standout (and we surmise key to JBI's 210 basis points year-over-year margin boost) as management was able to clinch outsized contractual renewals owed to an extremely tight truck market in 2018," Raymond James analyst Patrick Tyler Brown wrote in a note to clients. "This said, volumes were a tad disappointing as load growth turned negative."

It might not have been a perfect report, but from an earnings perspective, JB Hunt did plenty.

Source: Shutterstock

### Boeing (BA)

Following on the success of United Technologies, Boeing (NYSE:BA) reported tremendous results in the fourth quarter, helping the company go over $100 billion in annual revenue for the first time in its history.

On the bottom line, Boeing delivered adjusted earnings of $5.48 a share, 91 cents or 20% higher than analyst expectations. On the top line, it had sales of $28.3 billion, $1 billion higher than the consensus estimate.

If you like healthy margins, Boeing increased its operating margins in the fourth quarter by 400 basis points to 15.6%. Other nice tidbits include adding 262 net orders in the quarter with a backlog of $412 billion at the end of December.

"The story is in place and they have the cash to deploy as well," Jefferies analyst Sheila Kahyaoglu said on CNBC Jan. 30. "We view any pullback as an opportunity on the stock."

* 7 Stocks That Could Double in 2019

I couldn't agree more. I'd say Boeing's latest earnings report is the most well-rounded of the seven stocks on my list.

Source: Shutterstock

### Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) CEO Linda Su continues to make a believer out of me.

The company reported its Q4 2018 results on Jan. 30. While revenues were less than expected at $1.42 billion, $20 million less than analyst estimate, earnings were 8 cents a share, in line with the consensus estimate.

Why did the stock jump 20% on the news? Su's words had a lot to do with it.

"In 2018 we delivered our second straight year of significant revenue growth, market share gains, expanded gross margin and improved profitability based on our high-performance products," Su said in a statement. "Despite near-term graphics headwinds, 2019 is shaping up to be another exciting year driven by the launch of our broadest and most competitive product portfolio ever."

In 2017, I was one of the company's biggest bears, suggesting Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) was a much better buy. Now that Nvidia's sputtering, I'm rethinking my position.

If it can deliver on its guidance for 2019 of high-single-digit growth rates, it could challenge $40 by the end of the year.

As of this writing, Will Ashworth did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.

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The post 7 S&P 500 Stocks to Buy That Tore Up Earnings appeared first on InvestorPlace.

A strong denim industry is good news for a Levi's IPO — if China or volatile markets don't spoil it
Thu, 31 Jan 2019 18:19:46 +0000
A strong denim market is good news for Levi Strauss & Co., which is eyeing a public offering this year, but U.S. tariffs on China and volatile markets could spell trouble.

Outdoor Retailer Snow Show exhibitors asked to step up advocacy on climate issues
Thu, 31 Jan 2019 14:41:37 +0000
From lobbying the federal government to implementing carbon-reduction plans at their companies, outdoor-gear makers are called on to contribute to climate solutions rather than just sell products.

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