Once Again, a Lack of Participation

Once Again, a Lack of Participation

The S&P 500 has made it back to the area where numerous previous attempts at new highs failed. The NASDAQ Composite is almost back to its recent high: However, smaller cap stocks aren't moving as strongly: In fact, three quarters of all publicly traded stocks are either flat for the year or down more than → Read More

Trading the Fed Announcement

Trading the Fed Announcement

It has been quite a while since a Fed announcement has been talked about as much as this one due on Thursday (2pm Eastern).  And there is wide debate on what the announcement may cover, and should cover (see For the first time in years, Fed decision is truly a toss up). The main point → Read More

A Bad Looking Morning

A Bad Looking Morning

I spent some time this weekend looking for ‘rebound' trade setups. I had a couple I was going to write about this morning. But stock futures are down sharply. I have to change my thinking to bearish trades. If there are large gap-downs at the open, it will add risk to shorting individual stocks. The → Read More

Is The Market About To Make A Big Move?

Is The Market About To Make A Big Move?

It's been quiet for too long. Something is about to happen. If you're a parent, you know that feeling. If you are an active stock or option trader, you are faced with a life and death decision (well, maybe not that bad) – do you form an opinion and take a position in preparation for → Read More

What Is The CBOE Skew Index and How Can It Help Control Risk?

What Is The CBOE Skew Index and How Can It Help Control Risk?

Traditionally, the end of each calendar year has served as a natural time for the average person to pause and reflect upon the past, as well as anticipate the future. In particular, millions of folks engage in some form of evaluation process – reviewing such things as “what went well”, “what did not go well”, → Read More

Time for a Pause

Time for a Pause

In the December 13th newsletter I suggested the S&P 500 would likely form a cycle bottom, saying “The markets move in cycles. They always have, it's human nature. Looking at the S&P 500's chart, over just about any time period I pick, I see a roughly 1-1/2 to 2 month cycle. Sometimes the cycle lows → Read More

APPL is Ignoring the Gyrations

APPL is Ignoring the Gyrations

I did not share the market's enthusiasm at the end of last week. I thought about the exact wording of the statements being made and saw little reason to believe a budget compromise was forthcoming. With several hours to go before today's market open, stock futures are down on reports of new demands being made → Read More

The Power of Blockbuster Products

The Power of Blockbuster Products

Try to imagine being “in the shoes” of Dr. John Lechleiter, CEO of the venerable pharmacy company Eli Lilly (LLY). Of the world’s top three “blockbuster drugs” that are due to lose their patent protection in 2013, Eli Lilly has two of them: 1. Cymbalta:  Although Lilly did manage to successfully manage a six month → Read More

Transformative Innovation

Transformative Innovation

What transformative development that each of us takes very much for granted involved each of these seemingly non-correlated elements: 1)  Novel vision 2)  Determination to overcome these seemingly insurmountable obstacles: Bureaucracy Differences between New York and Chicago Railroad inertia (later in its history) 3)  A synergy of new technology 4)  Smoking Stumped? I imagine that → Read More

Crazy Bellringer Was Right

Since the beginning of the year, the Q’s have just been sitting’ there. I looked back at recent years in QQQ’s price chart. There were other times it sat like this for a month. But just a month. Every time, after about four to six weeks, fingers hovering over buy or sell buttons on trading → Read More

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