An ETF Showing Accumulation?

An ETF Showing Accumulation?

There are 24 major index and sector ETFs I track. Many of them have good seasonal patterns, meaning track records over the next few months, but for the next few weeks there isn’t much to trade on. For example, XLE, the Energy Select Sector SPDR, has the best seasonal pattern right now. Over the next → Read More

What Works Better Than Seasonal Patterns This Time of Year?

What Works Better Than Seasonal Patterns This Time of Year?

Once again the S&P 500 has failed to break to a new high. Wednesday’s reversal to the downside occurred at a lower high, and helped define a down-trending channel. While traders could come back this week in a buying mood and quickly end this downtrend, the odds are the index will head towards the bottom → Read More

Which ETF Has a 100% Track Record?

Which ETF Has a 100% Track Record?

Last week I asked the question “What Would You Do?” If you were an institutional trader or professional advisor, would you take the risk to make any further gains this year? Earlier this month the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500, the Russell 2000, and the NASDAQ Composite set lower highs after failing to → Read More

Trading the Fed Announcement – a 32% Gain!

Trading the Fed Announcement – a 32% Gain!

Back on September 14th I wrote Trading the Fed Announcement. I looked at a possible SPY straddle option strategy structured with a SPY October 197 Call and a SPY October 197 Put. I felt a 5% move in the SPY could be possible, either in direct response to the Fed’s announcement, or at least within → Read More

Trading the Fed Announcement

Trading the Fed Announcement

It has been quite a while since a Fed announcement has been talked about as much as this one due on Thursday (2pm Eastern).  And there is wide debate on what the announcement may cover, and should cover (see For the first time in years, Fed decision is truly a toss up). The main point → Read More

Are Diamonds Your Best Friend?

Are Diamonds Your Best Friend?

The major indexes have staged breakouts that are hard to miss. Focusing on the ETFs that are easy to trade, the NASDAQ Composite, represented by QQQ, has marched upwards for 8 straight sessions, nearing the all-time highs set back in 2000: The S&P 500, represented by SPY, set a new high: The smaller cap Russell → Read More

Penny Pricing for Stock Options

Penny Pricing for Stock Options

Historically, stock option premiums generally were quoted in fixed increments of a nickel (0.05) or a dime (0.10), depending on the amount of the premium. But a very successful pilot program led to price premium in pennies instead. And so the days of being “nickeled and dimed” are slowly coming to an end! The Old → Read More

A Finance Lesson For My Daughter: How To Trade A Strong Trend (Part II)

A Finance Lesson For My Daughter: How To Trade A Strong Trend (Part II)

In Part I we placed a spotlight upon the NASDAQ Index, whose performance has been outstripping the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Indices for at least 3.5 months, and has been leaving the RUT Index (Russell 2000) far behind (and in its “dust”). We also provided (in narrative and graph format) a brief history → Read More

A Finance Lesson For My Daughter: How To Trade A Strong Trend

A Finance Lesson For My Daughter: How To Trade A Strong Trend

My adult daughter has invested (in a Roth IRA) from her first year of full-time employment, and has a keen interest in investing. But her job consumes so much of her time and energy that she can’t keep up with the markets. So let’s imagine she visited me one day and wanted a “MarketTamer Condensed → Read More

Where Will The S&P 500 Be In 6 Months?

Where Will The S&P 500 Be In 6 Months?

The S&P 500 carved out a well-defined short-term cycle low on August 7th. The pullback, from late July into the low on August 7th, was a 4.3% drop covering  11 trading days. That was in line with the typical S&P 500 pullback: The current rebound has gone about halfway in both distance and time of → Read More

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