Dealing With An Uncertain Market

Dealing With An Uncertain Market

You don't know what to make of this market. The S&P 500 tried several times over the past year to set new highs and failed every time. The index closed on Friday back at spring of 2014 levels. Volume is still favoring down-close days, so the near future doesn't look too bright. We may be → Read More

An Energy Stock Raising Its Dividend?

An Energy Stock Raising Its Dividend?

Think it's all bad in the energy sector? It seems every oil-related stock is dropping like a rock. Dividends are being cut and the price of oil just keeps falling. To buy an oil stock now would be like trying to catch the proverbial falling knife. However, Valero Energy Corp (VLO) yesterday announced a 20% → Read More

A Bad Looking Morning

A Bad Looking Morning

I spent some time this weekend looking for ‘rebound' trade setups. I had a couple I was going to write about this morning. But stock futures are down sharply. I have to change my thinking to bearish trades. If there are large gap-downs at the open, it will add risk to shorting individual stocks. The → Read More

If The Dollar Goes Down, What Goes Up?

If The Dollar Goes Down, What Goes Up?

The dollar gave back a little ground in the past week. Seasonally, the dollar usually falls back a bit over the next 4 to 6 weeks. It's not much, only about 0.4% on average. But the US dollar index has fallen over the next 5 weeks in 15 out of the past 23 years. So → Read More

The Story of How Horizon Pharma Creatively Scaled

The Story of How Horizon Pharma Creatively Scaled

In the world of finance and stocks, there are times when “the stars line up” to create an especially interesting story. Such was the case when the announcement was made in March that Chicago-area Horizon Pharma Inc. was joining forces with privately held Vidara Therapeutics (a company which is listed as being headquartered in Roswell, → Read More

The Bear Case for Darden (Part II)

The Bear Case for Darden (Part II)

In Part I, we provided you with a thumbnail history of the restaurant chain, Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI).  We also detailed some ways in which DRI has become an exceptional company.  However, the two chains that have been the foundational anchors for DRI from the beginning (Red Lobster and Olive Garden) have seen their growth → Read More

The Bull Case for Darden (Part I)

The Bull Case for Darden (Part I)

A Happy and Blessed New Year Wish to each of you, our readers! As you know, I normally hold “disclosures” until the article’s end. But in this instance, I feel a need to disclose upfront that Olive Garden has long been one of my favorite restaurants. Keep that in mind as you read this article → Read More

What Is The CBOE Skew Index and How Can It Help Control Risk?

What Is The CBOE Skew Index and How Can It Help Control Risk?

Traditionally, the end of each calendar year has served as a natural time for the average person to pause and reflect upon the past, as well as anticipate the future. In particular, millions of folks engage in some form of evaluation process – reviewing such things as “what went well”, “what did not go well”, → Read More

Halloween Horror Story: The Danger Of Focusing Only On Yield

Halloween Horror Story: The Danger Of Focusing Only On Yield

I must start with a “full disclosure” caveat.  “Horror” is a very subjective term. What Jack or Harold might consider a “horror movie” could easily be a “relaxing, entertaining tale” for Thelma and Louise! Within the investment world, the most genuine, objective “horror stories” include such things as: 1)    Bankruptcies – within which stockowners and/or → Read More

Why Was Facebook Kicked Out Of MOAT?

Why Was Facebook Kicked Out Of MOAT?

You have seen us often reiterate the importance of a holistic approach to investing, because investing involves far too many dimensions and variables for any simplistic strategy to regularly result in profit. One example of this is a principle espoused by 20th Century investment giant, Benjamin Graham, whose seminal books on stocks[1] inspired 21st Century → Read More

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