When Will The Selling Stop?

When Will The Selling Stop?

The major indexes dropped between 2 and 3% yesterday. The S&P 500 is down 4.6% since its last high a month ago. Of course everyone is wondering how far this pullback will go. The bull market, since 2009, has been so strong that the first assumption I have to make, for now, is that this → Read More

Is Estee Lauder Hot or Not?

Is Estee Lauder Hot or Not?

In an unfortunate example of our priorities nowadays, a number of websites have cropped up on the theme ‘Am I Hot or Not’. People upload a photo of themselves and others rate them on ‘hotness’. Looking through charts this weekend, that was the phrase that kept popping into my mind. Some indexes, and many individual → Read More

A Quick 20% Profit on Perfume?

A Quick 20% Profit on Perfume?

While the major indexes took another hit on Friday, the charts of many quality stocks show possible reversals. Reversal candlestick patterns appeared, and the Stochastic indicators are at oversold levels and likely to give ‘buy’ signals soon. If this current market pullback does end here, it will be nothing more than another short-term cycle low, → Read More

Time To Buy or Sell EL?

Time To Buy or Sell EL?

While I usually use seasonal patterns to filter out the highest probability stock trades, which also allows me to have a high success rate with option trades, sometimes a trade, based purely on technical analysis, will jump out at me. In the April 16th newsletter I said “If the markets open positively today, and Estee → Read More

Failing, Floundering, and Faltering

Failing, Floundering, and Faltering

Breakouts are not working. They are not following through. Take Disney, a stock that usually posts strong gains this time of year. Over the next 12 weeks, a period that goes into the middle of January earnings reports, DIS has gained an average 9.1%, with gains in 24 out of the past 29 years. Disney → Read More

A Little Patience Pays Off, Part 2

A Little Patience Pays Off, Part 2

Last week I focused on Estee Lauder stock in an article titled A Little Patience Pays Off. I stated “EL is now up 3% from the breakout level, but more importantly is only 1.4% away from setting a new all-time high. The weekly chart suggests another strong step-up in EL would not be unusual.“ As → Read More

A Little Patience Pays Off

A Little Patience Pays Off

Today’s newsletter focuses on the importance of waiting for trades to set up properly. This is even more important in market environments like we are currently dealing with. A number of good quality stocks have been trading sideways, forming tight trading ranges. Few stocks have been able to find the momentum to post new highs → Read More

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