Did You Jump Into POOL?

Did You Jump Into POOL?

On January 19th, 2016, my Tuesday morning posting was titled Time to Jump Into POOL? I pointed out that over the next 15 weeks, POOL had a 100% track record of gains – a strong average gain of 18.1% a year, with gains in 20 out of POOL’s 20 years of trading. And many of → Read More

Nobody At This Pep Rally

Nobody At This Pep Rally

A couple of weeks ago the number of NYSE stocks that were above their 200-day moving average hit the lowest number since March 30, 2009. Less than 10% of stocks were above their 200-day MA. In fact, the average has been slowly declining since at least the beginning of 2013. At first glance, you may → Read More

Will You Sleep Well Knowing This?

Will You Sleep Well Knowing This?

Back in my April 20th article, titled What Might September Bring?, I focused on the track record of gains and losses in the month of September. I stated “There is an approximately seven year cycle in Septembers with larger losses. “ This weekend I was looking at the seasonal patterns of the major indexes and ETFs, → Read More

Not Yet a Correction

Not Yet a Correction

The S&P 500 bought a one-way ticket south. After setting a new all-time high, it quickly reversed, plunging through the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. A quick 9.8% loss over 18 trading sessions: But wait. That was not last week. That was less than a year ago, in October 2014. The index of large-cap U.S. → Read More

When Will The Selling Stop?

When Will The Selling Stop?

The major indexes dropped between 2 and 3% yesterday. The S&P 500 is down 4.6% since its last high a month ago. Of course everyone is wondering how far this pullback will go. The bull market, since 2009, has been so strong that the first assumption I have to make, for now, is that this → Read More

Semis Are Rolling Downhill

Semis Are Rolling Downhill

The oil sector stocks have been selling off for months. But I’ve been watching the weakness in semiconductor stocks. I mentioned it in a blog posting back in July (Is This A Good Time For Semiconductor Stocks?)  So I took the table from that article and updated it. Every stock has shown either a change → Read More

Honeywell Better Than McDonalds?

Honeywell Better Than McDonalds?

In the December 29th, 2014 issue of Seasonal Forecaster I presented one of my ‘wallflower’ finds: “I don’t like to think in terms of shorting stocks when in a bull market. But when a lot of top stocks remain overbought, I like to look for ‘wallflower’ stocks – the stocks you seldom hear about in → Read More

The Halloween Effect – True or False?

The Halloween Effect – True or False?

It has been a market bromide for decades: “Sell in May and go away.” This piece of market wisdom is sometimes referred to as the Halloween Effect, a strategy for going long on stocks on October 31 and selling the positions on May 1 for a gain. It assumes that, with few exceptions, the November → Read More

Right on Direction, But Still Lose Money on Bear Put Spreads?

Right on Direction, But Still Lose Money on Bear Put Spreads?

In 3 of the last 5 days, SPY, the ETF based on the S&P 500, gap-opened upwards but ended the day in the lower half of the day’s range. The range of the day’s trading has been increasing on the down-close days: Is this a good time to play further downside in perhaps the SPY? → Read More

What Is The CBOE Skew Index and How Can It Help Control Risk?

What Is The CBOE Skew Index and How Can It Help Control Risk?

Traditionally, the end of each calendar year has served as a natural time for the average person to pause and reflect upon the past, as well as anticipate the future. In particular, millions of folks engage in some form of evaluation process – reviewing such things as “what went well”, “what did not go well”, → Read More

MarketTamer is not an investment advisor and is not registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. Further, owners, employees, agents or representatives of MarketTamer are not acting as investment advisors and might not be registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or the Financial Industry Regulatory.


This company makes no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended in this email, and makes no representations or warranties concerning said company or entity’s compliance with applicable laws and regulations, including, but not limited to, regulations promulgated by the SEC or the CFTC. The sender of this email may receive a portion of the proceeds from the sale of any products or services offered by a company or entity mentioned or recommended in this email. The recipient of this email assumes responsibility for conducting its own due diligence on the aforementioned company or entity and assumes full responsibility, and releases the sender from liability, for any purchase or order made from any company or entity mentioned or recommended in this email.


The content on any of MarketTamer websites, products or communication is for educational purposes only. Nothing in its products, services, or communications shall be construed as a solicitation and/or recommendation to buy or sell a security. Trading stocks, options and other securities involves risk. The risk of loss in trading securities can be substantial. The risk involved with trading stocks, options and other securities is not suitable for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an option, an investor must evaluate his/her own personal financial situation and consider all relevant risk factors. See: Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. The www.MarketTamer.com educational training program and software services are provided to improve financial understanding.


The information presented in this site is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decisions, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Nothing in our research constitutes legal, accounting or tax advice or individually tailored investment advice. Our research is prepared for general circulation and has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive or obtain access to it. Our research is based on sources that we believe to be reliable. However, we do not make any representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy of our research, the completeness, or correctness or make any guarantee or other promise as to any results that may be obtained from using our research. To the maximum extent permitted by law, neither we, any of our affiliates, nor any other person, shall have any liability whatsoever to any person for any loss or expense, whether direct, indirect, consequential, incidental or otherwise, arising from or relating in any way to any use of or reliance on our research or the information contained therein. Some discussions contain forward looking statements which are based on current expectations and differences can be expected. All of our research, including the estimates, opinions and information contained therein, reflects our judgment as of the publication or other dissemination date of the research and is subject to change without notice. Further, we expressly disclaim any responsibility to update such research. Investing involves substantial risk. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results, and a loss of original capital may occur. No one receiving or accessing our research should make any investment decision without first consulting his or her own personal financial advisor and conducting his or her own research and due diligence, including carefully reviewing any applicable prospectuses, press releases, reports and other public filings of the issuer of any securities being considered. None of the information presented should be construed as an offer to sell or buy any particular security. As always, use your best judgment when investing.