Yes, Fixed-Income Investors… There Are “Alternatives”

Yes, Fixed-Income Investors… There Are “Alternatives”

During the past several years, many widely publicized “what to invest in next year” stories have featured one or more investment gurus forecasting the imminent end of the long-running bull market in bonds – only to be proven wrong because they underestimated the weakness in the global economy and the persistent appeal of the U.S. → Read More

Transformative Innovation

Transformative Innovation

What transformative development that each of us takes very much for granted involved each of these seemingly non-correlated elements: 1)  Novel vision 2)  Determination to overcome these seemingly insurmountable obstacles: Bureaucracy Differences between New York and Chicago Railroad inertia (later in its history) 3)  A synergy of new technology 4)  Smoking Stumped? I imagine that → Read More

Is IWM Churning or Burning?

Is IWM Churning or Burning?

Let’s talk divergence. it isn’t quite visible yet in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. It isn’t quite visible yet in the S&P 500. The NASDAQ Composite is the strongest of the major indexes, but only by a hair. That leaves the Russell 2000, the index comprised of smaller cap stocks (actually, there are several other → Read More

“Bank Reform: A Steep Hill or a Massive Mountain”

“Bank Reform: A Steep Hill or a Massive Mountain”

We’ve already established that the U.S. carries a substantial financial and economic risk because so many of its banks are “too big to fail” (see “The Stock Market, SNL, and Washington D.C.”).  Since the repeal of Glass-Steagall in 1999, the rise of “one stop” financial providers[1], and the “mega bank” consolidation hastened by the financial → Read More

The Stock Market, SNL, and Washington D.C.

The Stock Market, SNL, and Washington D.C.

Trivia question: What current issue is able to link the current stock market (having finally broken through the old “nominal” high in both primary indices — the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrials), elementary economics, “Saturday Night Live”, and key liberal Democrats and conservative Republicans? I can hear you thinking – “Wait a minute, → Read More

Sell in May?

Sell in May?

Sell in May? A short-term trader’s perspective ‘Sell in May and Go Away’. If you’ve traded stocks for more than a few years you’ve probably heard this adage, always muttered in the same tone of voice as your grandfather used when sharing his decades worth of experience. You are starting to see mention of this → Read More

Relationships and Trading

Relationships and Trading

What if relationships and marriage could be approached in terms of transactional analysis? Or to express it more succinctly and appropriately for Market Tamer Blog readers – in what ways can we discuss marriage through the same terminology that traders use when analyzing stocks and options? Well, to start with, pay no attention to those → Read More

24.5% Return Over 43 Days

24.5% Return Over 43 Days

In the April 5th Seasonal Forecaster newsletter I focused on Meritage Homes, a homebuilder about a fourth the size of D.R. Horton or Pulte Homes. Using one of my favorite indicators for identifying cycle lows, I pointed out that MTH was possibly at another cycle low and we could expect a bounce. I covered the → Read More

Just Because You’re Paranoid

Just Because You’re Paranoid

[Note to readers: First of all, my thoughts and prayers are with all of those whose lives were taken or shaken by the “Marathon bombs”.  Secondly, I normally write these blog posts from “my head”. However, between the countless emotions prompted by the developments in Boston and a very stressful trading week, I decided it → Read More

Not Another Elvis Bearing Ricin

Not Another Elvis Bearing Ricin

If you’re looking to make sense of the past week, you won’t find the answer here. In just the past seven days, we’ve had a marathon bombing, a world-wide manhunt, the marathon bombers in a police chase, spewing explosives along the way, the leveling of a Texas town, Ricin being sent to the president, an → Read More

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